Analyze a commodity trade. Use the concepts mentioned in the attached file, identify the underlying supply and demand fundamentals that determine whether the trade will be profitable. Specify how you anticipate that these fundamental factors will evolve and how these movements will result in a profitable trade. Identify the risks in the trade, i.e., what will happen to the trade if the fundamental factors do not evolve in the way you anticipate. As an example, analyze a calendar spread trade (buying one month, selling another month), or a basis trade (such as buying Brent and selling WTI.) Your paper will be more persuasive if you support your analysis with data and some analysis of that data.
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